Wind forecasting built on the turbine power curve.
Wind output doesn't track wind speed — it tracks the cube of it, between cut-in and rated. We forecast hub-height conditions and push them through the actual power curve of your turbines, so the number you schedule against is power, not weather.
Wind forecasting is not solar forecasting with a different input.
Solar generation follows a predictable daily arc that clouds modulate. Wind has no arc. It ramps in minutes, cuts out entirely above storm thresholds, and converts speed to power along a curve steep enough to turn a small forecast miss into a large scheduling penalty.
Hub-Height, Not Surface
Public weather feeds report wind at 10 m. Turbines operate at 80-140 m, where speed and shear differ substantially. We model the vertical profile up to hub height rather than extrapolating from the ground.
Turbine-Specific Power Curves
Cut-in, rated and cut-out speeds vary by turbine model, and real curves drift from the manufacturer sheet as blades age and soil. Forecasts run through the curve for your machines, not a generic one.
Wake and Array Losses
Upwind turbines steal energy from the ones behind them, and how much depends on wind direction. Array layout and direction-dependent wake losses are modelled instead of applied as a flat derate.
Ramp Event Detection
The costly failure in wind scheduling is the ramp — output swinging hard within a block. Ramps are flagged ahead of time so schedulers can revise rather than discover the deviation after settlement.
Air Density Correction
Power scales with air density, so the same wind speed yields different output across temperature, pressure and altitude. Density is corrected per site rather than assumed at sea level.
SCADA and Nacelle Feedback
Nacelle anemometry and turbine SCADA close the loop. Measured output trains the site model continuously, so the forecast learns the behaviour of your farm rather than the region around it.
What operators use wind forecasts for.
Scheduling and Deviation Settlement
Submit day-ahead and intra-day schedules in 15-minute blocks, then revise as the forecast updates. Tighter blocks mean less exposure to deviation charges.
Hybrid Solar + Wind Portfolios
Wind and solar rarely peak together. Portfolio-level forecasts combine both so hybrid sites are scheduled as one asset rather than two competing ones.
Maintenance and Curtailment Planning
Schedule turbine maintenance into forecast low-wind windows, and anticipate curtailment instructions instead of reacting to them.
See a wind forecast on your farm.
Send us turbine models, hub height and coordinates. We'll run a forecast against your site and walk through it with your scheduling team.